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Chris Kresser is a functional medicine/holistic/paleo advocate in California who has quite a nice blog. He quite impresses me because he's nuanced and flexible (Andreas Eenfeldt likes him too). Anyway, here is the transcript of a podcast he just gave on whether you can delay the onset of LADA once you've tested positive for GAD. Basically he doesn't answer the Q. He just says, Well, drop all the toxins and make sure you haven't got leaky gut, and it may never develop.
But what he says about the predictive value of the the GAD test is interesting. See below for quote. He implies that if you fix your diet (AKA control carbohydrates, manage your post-meal spikes, exercise) and do his other far-out anti-stress stuff, the predictive value might be significantly less than 50-80%. Generally he gets his research right. So this interests me - particularly as after five months of bolusing to get rid of post-meal spikes, my little pancreas seems at the moment ma sha allah to have recovered a bit of function.
He says:
But what he says about the predictive value of the the GAD test is interesting. See below for quote. He implies that if you fix your diet (AKA control carbohydrates, manage your post-meal spikes, exercise) and do his other far-out anti-stress stuff, the predictive value might be significantly less than 50-80%. Generally he gets his research right. So this interests me - particularly as after five months of bolusing to get rid of post-meal spikes, my little pancreas seems at the moment ma sha allah to have recovered a bit of function.
He says:
"For example, some models show that having three positive antibodies implies a risk of between about 50% and 85% over five years that the patient will develop the clinical signs of type 1.5 diabetes or 65% to 85% chance over 10 years. So with three positive antibodies, that’s a relatively high chance that within 10 years you would develop the clinical signs of type 1.5 diabetes. However, there are a few studies that put it even higher than that. I saw one model that estimated that 100% of people with three positive antibodies will go on to develop the onset of autoimmune diabetes within five years. So, one antibody appears to be moderately predictive. With three antibodies, the risk is anywhere between 50% and 100% in five years, depending on what study you look at."
Lucy