It's true, we do experience a change in requirements many tines throughout the year, seasons changing, added stresses, illness, the list is endless really, we aren't in control when that happens but you just have to work on spotting the pattern and adjusting where needed, you have a slight benefit being on a split basal where effects are more instant whereas I'm on Tresiba where any adjustments take at least 3 days to have an effect
Do you keep logs of your BG's? If you do then I'd suggest you go through them all seeing if there is a pattern you can spot
xx