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<blockquote data-quote="urbanracer" data-source="post: 2230637" data-attributes="member: 140811"><p>Probably not - it's an example of what might happen if the virus spreads unchecked and the whole population is exposed to it. In Italy right now they have over 10,000 cases and 630 deaths which means that their morbidity rate (at 6% of the people with symptoms) is much higher than the data published by China or anywhere else so far.</p><p></p><p>Although the number of infections isn't doubling every day the Italians have still experienced exponential growth which is what would be expected without controls. They therefore felt the need to take extreme measures to slow it down. The rate of spread of the infection has not yet taken off in the UK and the health advisors are predicting a peak in around 2 weeks from now.</p><p></p><p>Any comparison with the flu virus has to be taken in the context that we have a vaccine for the flu and yet people still die. No such vaccine exists for Covid-19 and now that there are reportedly 2 strains circulating we'll probably need 2 vaccines.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="urbanracer, post: 2230637, member: 140811"] Probably not - it's an example of what might happen if the virus spreads unchecked and the whole population is exposed to it. In Italy right now they have over 10,000 cases and 630 deaths which means that their morbidity rate (at 6% of the people with symptoms) is much higher than the data published by China or anywhere else so far. Although the number of infections isn't doubling every day the Italians have still experienced exponential growth which is what would be expected without controls. They therefore felt the need to take extreme measures to slow it down. The rate of spread of the infection has not yet taken off in the UK and the health advisors are predicting a peak in around 2 weeks from now. Any comparison with the flu virus has to be taken in the context that we have a vaccine for the flu and yet people still die. No such vaccine exists for Covid-19 and now that there are reportedly 2 strains circulating we'll probably need 2 vaccines. [/QUOTE]
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