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<blockquote data-quote="Tannith" data-source="post: 2297955" data-attributes="member: 422465"><p><span style="font-size: 22px"><strong>Determining the optimal strategy for reopening schools, the impact of test and trace interventions, and the risk of occurrence of a second COVID-19 epidemic wave in the UK: a modelling study</strong></span></p><p>"However, we also predict that in the absence of sufficiently broad test–trace–isolate coverage, reopening of schools combined with accompanied reopening of society across all scenarios might induce a second COVID-19 wave. For example, our modelling results suggest that full school reopening in September, 2020, without an effective test–trace–isolate strategy would result in R rising above 1 and a resulting second wave of infections that would peak in December, 2020, and be 2·3 times the size of the original COVID-19 wave. Cases would then decline and peak again, with a wave 2·0 times larger than the original "wave.<a href="https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanchi/article/PIIS2352-4642(20)30250-9/fulltext" target="_blank">https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanchi/article/PIIS2352-4642(20)30250-9/fulltext</a></p><p>It's not just the teachers who could be affected. A second wave would affect the whole country.And we all know how brilliant our Govt's Test and Trace programme is!</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Tannith, post: 2297955, member: 422465"] [SIZE=6][B]Determining the optimal strategy for reopening schools, the impact of test and trace interventions, and the risk of occurrence of a second COVID-19 epidemic wave in the UK: a modelling study[/B][/SIZE] "However, we also predict that in the absence of sufficiently broad test–trace–isolate coverage, reopening of schools combined with accompanied reopening of society across all scenarios might induce a second COVID-19 wave. For example, our modelling results suggest that full school reopening in September, 2020, without an effective test–trace–isolate strategy would result in R rising above 1 and a resulting second wave of infections that would peak in December, 2020, and be 2·3 times the size of the original COVID-19 wave. Cases would then decline and peak again, with a wave 2·0 times larger than the original "wave.[URL]https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanchi/article/PIIS2352-4642(20)30250-9/fulltext[/URL] It's not just the teachers who could be affected. A second wave would affect the whole country.And we all know how brilliant our Govt's Test and Trace programme is! [/QUOTE]
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