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What are people thinking about a second lockdown?
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<blockquote data-quote="bulkbiker" data-source="post: 2309292" data-attributes="member: 219467"><p>Are you really unsure as to what the testing results really are? Before I go into a long and involved explanation? </p><p>Have a look at some of the posts on the not doom and gloom thread. Prof Carl Hennegan video especially.</p><p>But I guess you are so...</p><p></p><p> A positive test result does not mean that someone either has COVID let alone is infectious.</p><p></p><p>Even Matt Hancock admitted that the false positive rate FPR could be 1% which means that of the 233.000 people tested yesterday 2330 could be false positives.. as the total of new "cases" i.e. positive test results yesterday was 4,422 then over half of those could be wrongly classed as "infections".</p><p></p><p>Add to that the PCR test was not meant to be used to diagnose viral infections and by amplifying the small amount of sample that is taken using a swab you can pick up "positive" results from up to 70 days ago or maybe more) which means that someone could have been exposed not even noticed it and still be shown as "positive" by the test even if their exposure was a month ago.</p><p></p><p>So when the media report "cases" and "infections" they are really reporting "positive test results" which is why I get so angry at the doom and loom mongers who ignore this rather inconvenient problem with the current reporting. </p><p></p><p>I hope that helps.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="bulkbiker, post: 2309292, member: 219467"] Are you really unsure as to what the testing results really are? Before I go into a long and involved explanation? Have a look at some of the posts on the not doom and gloom thread. Prof Carl Hennegan video especially. But I guess you are so... A positive test result does not mean that someone either has COVID let alone is infectious. Even Matt Hancock admitted that the false positive rate FPR could be 1% which means that of the 233.000 people tested yesterday 2330 could be false positives.. as the total of new "cases" i.e. positive test results yesterday was 4,422 then over half of those could be wrongly classed as "infections". Add to that the PCR test was not meant to be used to diagnose viral infections and by amplifying the small amount of sample that is taken using a swab you can pick up "positive" results from up to 70 days ago or maybe more) which means that someone could have been exposed not even noticed it and still be shown as "positive" by the test even if their exposure was a month ago. So when the media report "cases" and "infections" they are really reporting "positive test results" which is why I get so angry at the doom and loom mongers who ignore this rather inconvenient problem with the current reporting. I hope that helps. [/QUOTE]
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