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What are people thinking about a second lockdown?
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<blockquote data-quote="NicoleC1971" data-source="post: 2309296" data-attributes="member: 365308"><p>As I understand it the PCR test was never meant to be used as a diagnostic as the test can pick up cold cases (someone prevously exposed with dead viral fragments) or weak positives (viral load so low it won't infect anyone else) but this test is being run like a pregnancy test presumably because we the general public cannot be trusted to understand anything too complicated.</p><p>if your false positive rate alone is 0.8% as Matt Hancock ('n' Bull) explained on radio recently that means if 100,000 tests are run a day 80 of those would be a false positive and all of those people's contacts would needlessly be told to self isolate etc. Given that we know the virus is not very prevalent in spite of cases spiking with enough time for it to show up in the hospitalisations and deaths rate, that means that a lot of those cases are most likely to be inconsequential both to the individuals concerned and to their contacts.</p><p>Whatever we do now the traditional Winter illnesses are bound to crop up and take away the most vulnerable.</p><p>In the meantime I have ordered my Anders Tegnell Swedish Superhero tee shirt because they seem to know what they are doing over there and at least they admit where they got it wrong (care home transmissions).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="NicoleC1971, post: 2309296, member: 365308"] As I understand it the PCR test was never meant to be used as a diagnostic as the test can pick up cold cases (someone prevously exposed with dead viral fragments) or weak positives (viral load so low it won't infect anyone else) but this test is being run like a pregnancy test presumably because we the general public cannot be trusted to understand anything too complicated. if your false positive rate alone is 0.8% as Matt Hancock ('n' Bull) explained on radio recently that means if 100,000 tests are run a day 80 of those would be a false positive and all of those people's contacts would needlessly be told to self isolate etc. Given that we know the virus is not very prevalent in spite of cases spiking with enough time for it to show up in the hospitalisations and deaths rate, that means that a lot of those cases are most likely to be inconsequential both to the individuals concerned and to their contacts. Whatever we do now the traditional Winter illnesses are bound to crop up and take away the most vulnerable. In the meantime I have ordered my Anders Tegnell Swedish Superhero tee shirt because they seem to know what they are doing over there and at least they admit where they got it wrong (care home transmissions). [/QUOTE]
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