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COVID the real numbers? Not all doom and gloom.
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<blockquote data-quote="NicoleC1971" data-source="post: 2307671" data-attributes="member: 365308"><p>Note the words 'worst case scenario' ! Rather like Neil Ferguson's 500,000 UK and 50,000 Sweden deaths neither of which came to pass.</p><p>I hope we have learned that the aged are extremely vulnerable in these settings and are therefore protecting them from this and other viruses. Those that have survived may simply be the strongest of the bunch?</p><p>However as we go into the Winter upper respiratory season there are those that are left susceptible to <strong>whatever bug </strong>comes in (most people needing this care have a life expectancy of a further 2 years).</p><p>So it is sad but if we look at it from a perspective over a number of years our excess death rate for this year is still no greater than it has been in some bad flu years in spite of the vaccine for the latter eg, year 2000</p><p>My grandma is in one of those places and is currently locked down due to a couple of cases of Covid in the staff. She is 94. I can't ask her but I wonder how many of those residents might swap living in lockdown til next Spring and beyond versus taking the risk of illness and death alongside seeing their families again?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="NicoleC1971, post: 2307671, member: 365308"] Note the words 'worst case scenario' ! Rather like Neil Ferguson's 500,000 UK and 50,000 Sweden deaths neither of which came to pass. I hope we have learned that the aged are extremely vulnerable in these settings and are therefore protecting them from this and other viruses. Those that have survived may simply be the strongest of the bunch? However as we go into the Winter upper respiratory season there are those that are left susceptible to [B]whatever bug [/B]comes in (most people needing this care have a life expectancy of a further 2 years). So it is sad but if we look at it from a perspective over a number of years our excess death rate for this year is still no greater than it has been in some bad flu years in spite of the vaccine for the latter eg, year 2000 My grandma is in one of those places and is currently locked down due to a couple of cases of Covid in the staff. She is 94. I can't ask her but I wonder how many of those residents might swap living in lockdown til next Spring and beyond versus taking the risk of illness and death alongside seeing their families again? [/QUOTE]
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