Has anybody seen any analysis on the numbers of people, and the circumstances they are in, who are still catching this virus?
I would have thought this info would be vitally important in informing the reduction of lockdown in the UK, but I have seen nothing but articles numbercrunching the same basic stats and speculating. No sign of evidential decision making at all. Maybe that will come later (she says, hopefully)
What I mean is,
- are the new cases that we are seeing on a daily basis (4-6,000 a day) mainly individuals who fall into specific groups - those in care homes? or amongst those who are supermarket shopping? or health care workers? or are they people required to work outside the home? or those using public transport? Factory workers? Those whose work prevents social distancing? Are they keyworkers whose children are still attending school? (this is all speculation, of course, since I haven't seen any figs or analysis on this)
Whatever the figures are on these groups if there are obvious signs that one pattern of behaviour is leading to more infections, then that could be focused during the unLocking (as an example, maybe supermarkets are hotbeds of virus swapping, whereas public transport travellers aren't catching it, or vice versa, and so on for every other group).
Around here, the parks and roads are getting busier and busier, but people seem to be mostly complying with social distancing when on the street and in the park, and on the beach. Where the social distancing is failing massively, is in shops, though since I am not shopping more than once a week, my observation is very limited. Oh, and judging by the occasional singing drunk passing the house at 1am, there are still Lockins happening somewhere.
And of course, there are some people who are taking no notice. Yesterday, 3 people in their 80s stood on the pavement in front of my house in a clump for about half an hour, chatting about how long it was since they had seen each other. Maybe 2 feet between them, not 2 metres.
