DavidGrahamJones
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You are going to get covid anyway... It has been clearly stated more than 80 percent will get it.
It has been clearly stated? Where was that then? Was that made by the same guy who said the NHS was well prepared? It is not possible to make a long term forecast, so who really knows.
Maybe that's why so many people are walking about like nothing is happening, totally irresponsible in my opinion. The lock down measures were imposed as a result of an estimate from Imperial College that 40 million people would catch the virus in the UK, nowhere near 80%. The measures were imposed so that we don't get near that figure.
Forecasts are being made in the short term. Some forecasts from Imperial College London:
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-glob...-analysis/covid-19/covid-19-weekly-forecasts/
Based on the central trends in the forecasts, the total number of reported deaths in the coming week is expected to be:
Even in the short term the estimates are relatively vague.
- Relatively small in 14 countries (<100 deaths)
(Argentina, China, Czech Republic, Dominican Republic, Egypt, Greece, Iraq, Japan, Luxembourg, Malaysia, Morocco, Norway, Panama, South Korea) - Relatively large in 15 countries (100 to 1000 deaths)
(Austria, Canada, Denmark, Ecuador, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Israel, Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Sweden) - Large in 8 countries (1,000 to 5,000 deaths)
(Algeria, Belgium, Brazil, Germany, Iran, Netherlands, Switzerland, Turkey) - Very large in 5 countries (> 5,000 deaths)
(France, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, United States of America)